📉 Mexico, Central America & the Caribbean: Economic Pressures Mount This Week

Manon Robin

découvrez les points clés des actualités économiques du mexique, d'amérique centrale et des caraïbes pour la semaine du 27 mars 2025. analyse des tendances, des marchés et des événements marquants qui façonnent la région.

📆 Interest rates plummeting, explosive tariffs signed by Trump, sectors in full transition… This week, the economic signals are clear: the region is entering a zone of turbulence.

Do you want to know how these decisions directly affect your business, your purchasing power, or your investments? Here’s the essential not to miss 👇

economic news mexico latin america 2025

🇲🇽 Mexico: slowdown confirmed, increased external pressure

The Central Bank of Mexico has struck again: new decrease of 50 basis points in its key rate. Result? A rate now at 9%, in an attempt to revive a lagging economy.

But unlucky: Donald Trump just announced a wave of 25% tariffs on imported vehicles and spare parts. Mexico, a major auto exporter to the USA, is directly in the crosshairs.

🔥 An explosive combination of internal decline and external trade pressure.

🚨 Key figures: exports in free fall

ExchangeVariation (Feb. 2025)
📉 Exports-7.3%
📉 Imports-4.5%
📈 FDI (2024)+35%

Despite a boom in foreign direct investments, big names like Cemex or Bimbo feel the pressure of the commercial slowdown. And you, would you still bet on these markets?

⚙️ Strategic sectors: between dynamism and free fall

🚗 The auto industry still shines with $6.9 billion in FDI in 2024. Why this enthusiasm? The electrification of vehicles attracts major investors.

But on the contrary… 🧱 Construction collapses with a drop of 19.2% in January.

Companies have no choice:

  • ✂️ Cut costs
  • 🤝 Seek alliances
  • ⚙️ Focus on innovation

🧾 Public finances: good news… with a double-edged sword?

On paper, everything is fine: the public deficit decreases by 86.6%. But in reality, this comes at the cost of drastic cuts:

SectorBudget Reduction
🏥 Health-22%
🎓 Education-25%
🏗️ Infrastructure-21%

Less debt, but less investment in the future. A temporary solution or a long-term trap?

🌎 Central America and the Caribbean: revealing contrasts

🇨🇷 Costa Rica: -4.3% tourists at the beginning of the year = a blow for small businesses. Fortunately, UNDP injects $15 million to support the local economy.

🇵🇦 Panama: its debt reaches $54.67 billion, and the closure of the Donoso mine threatens 1400 jobs.

🏝️ In the Caribbean, forecasts remain positive with an expected growth of 2.5%, but some countries, like Jamaica, are experiencing a drop in remittances – a vital lifeline for many households.

📌 What to remember

🔻 Mexico is going through a zone of economic turbulence.
💸 FDIs are present, but exports are faltering.
🌐 Central America is resilient but remains vulnerable.
📈 The Caribbean hopes for a rebound… but at what cost?

🤔 And you, would you bet on the region’s economy in 2025?

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