Latin America & Caribbean Economy 2025: Forecasts, Challenges, and Growth Opportunities 🌎📈

Manon Robin

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The economic news is bubbling this week between Mexico, Central America, and the Caribbean.
Between IMF revisions, initiatives from economic giants, and unexpected successes, a complete overview!


Mexico: between displayed optimism and signs of slowdown 📉🇲🇽

The International Monetary Fund surprised by revising Mexican forecasts:

  • ❌ Projected growth: -0.3% of GDP for 2025
  • 💬 The government of Claudia Sheinbaum contests
  • 📊 Inflation rising: 3.96% in April

Direct impact:

  • American protectionism at play
  • Threat to domestic demand
  • Tensions on large companies (Cemex, Grupo Bimbo…)

How are major economic players reacting? 💼

Mexican companies are counterattacking with bold strategies:

CompanyKey ActionObjective
América Móvil5G and digital deploymentExpansion
Grupo ModeloInternational marketsDiversification
HolcimSustainable investmentsGreen image

Event focus:
🌐 FAMEX 2025: Mexico wants to become a space leader!


Central America: economic contrasts 🏞️

Costa Rica: between social advances and economic risks

  • 📉 Rural poverty down from 27.1% to 22.1%
  • 🚨 Risks on growth 2025 (forecast revised to 3.5%)

El Salvador & Guatemala: positive signals

  • 🇸🇻 El Salvador: +350% increase in remittances
  • 🇬🇹 Guatemala: 1.7 billion USD in foreign direct investment on the rise

Caribbean: fiscal challenges and record remittances 🌴

CountryKey EventEconomic Impact
Dominican Republic2.9 billion USD in remittances (Q1 2025)Strong support for the economy
CubaDifficult tax collectionBudgetary challenges
Haiti+45.2% in DR exportsStrategic partnership

Trend:
The dependence on remittances is becoming an economic anchor for many Caribbean countries.


Regional dynamics in 3 key points 🔥

  • 📉 Mexico: Between forced adjustments and displayed resilience
  • 📈 Central America: Small steps but encouraging signals
  • 🌴 Caribbean: Opportunities to seize despite uncertainties

Express FAQ on economic news 🌎

1. What does the IMF forecast for Mexico in 2025?
➡️ A contraction of -0.3% of GDP, related to American protectionism.

2. What is the situation in Costa Rica?
➡️ Rural poverty is decreasing, but economic growth is under pressure.

3. Which Caribbean country is breaking remittance records?
➡️ Dominican Republic: 2.9 billion USD in remittances in Q1 2025.

4. How are Mexican companies reacting?
➡️ They are focusing on innovation (América Móvil, Holcim) and international expansion.

5. What’s happening fiscally in Cuba?
➡️ Less than 50% of taxpayers declare their income, despite record fine collections.


🌟 2025 promises to be a year of great challenges… but also immense opportunities for Latin America and the Caribbean.

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